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Bubble Watch 2/25
By Chris Copeland

Selection Sunday is now under three weeks away and many teams are fighting to lock up at-large berths. Here at CopeMoney Sports, we will run a Bubble watch updated every Monday and Friday, until March 11, when it will be updated daily.

There are 31 conference winners that receive automatic bids and 34 At-Large berths available. Here is the conference-by-conference breakdown of conferences possibly receiving multiple bids.

In 1: Xavier
Bubble 4: St Joes, Rhode Island, Dayton, UMASS
Overview: It seems no-one wants to be the second team in from the Atlantic 10. St Joes scored a monster road win at Rhode Island, while UMASS has come on, winners of 3 straight and could end the regular season on a six game winning streak.

In 2: Duke, North Carolina
Bubble 4: Clemson, Miami, Maryland, Wake
Overview: Miami keeps climbing up the ladder as they’ve won 4 straight. A win Wednesday night at Clemson would almost solidify their spot as the Canes last four games are all winnable.

Big East
In 5: UCONN, Georgetown, Marquette, Notre Dame, Louisville
Bubble 4: Villanova, Pitt, West Virginia, Syracuse
Overview: Nova got a much needed win against UCONN and can vastly improve their status by knocking off Marquette tonight. Two more wins by Pitt should get them in, and WVU ends with three of four on the road and has to show they can win away from Morgantown.

Big 10
In 4: Wisconsin, Purdue, Indiana, Michigan St
Bubble 1: Ohio St
Overview: OSU missed a golden opportunity by losing to Wisconsin and now mostly likely needs to beat Indiana or MSU to get back in the conversation.

Big 12
In 2: Kansas, Texas
Bubble 4: Kansas St, Baylor, Texas A&M, Oklahoma
Overview: K-State can lock up a bid by beating Texas tonight. Winning 3 of its last 4 should be enough for Baylor and Oklahoma, while A&M needs to win out to lock up its status.

Conference USA
In 1: Memphis
Bubble 2: UAB, Houston
Overview: If UAB wins three of its last four (or two plus a win at Memphis) and makes it to the finals of the CUSA tournament, I think they are in. Houston could be 24-6 going into the tournament, and a run to the finals there could push the Cougars in.

Mountain West
In 0:
Bubble 4: BYU, New Mexico, UNLV, San Diego St
Overview: Even if BYU doesn’t win the regular season crown, they have done enough to earn an at-large berth, though beating NM this week would catapult them into lock status. NM has won 6 straight and hosts UNLV and BYU this week, so they can do some damage if they win one or both.

Pac 10
In 3: Stanford, UCLA, Washington St
Bubble 3: Arizona, Arizona St, USC
Overview: Realistically, all six could get in. The Trojans play at both Arizona schools this week and could become a lock if they go 2-0. If ASU knocks off UCLA this week, they most likely are in as well.

In 2: Tennessee, Vanderbilt
Bubble 5: Ole Miss, Mississippi St, Kentucky, Arkansas, Florida
Overview: The SEC bubble is still wide open and will be discussed more in depth in the next few updates as each of these five teams can make a case.

In 0:
Bubble 2: St Mary’s, Gonzaga
Overview: Both teams should be in barring any more losses. These two meet up in Washington on Saturday which will determine who wears the regular season crown.

Other At-large Candidates
In 3: Butler, Drake, Davidson
Bubble 6: Kent St, South Alabama, VCU, Illinois St, Creighton, Southern Illinois,
Overview: VCU should be in, but might want to win its conference tournament just to be on the safe side, same can be said for Kent St. The Missouri Valley is all out of whack after Drake, which will be a two-bid league if they don’t win the conference tournament.


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